Kit KittlestadDec 31, 2025 4 min read

TikTok’s U.S. Future: What the New Deal Means for a Potential Ban

For TikTok’s American users, the app experience is expected to stay the same under the new ownership arrangement, with no need to re-download the app. | Adobe Stock
Adobe Stock

After years of uncertainty, TikTok may finally be edging toward a more permanent future in the United States.

A newly proposed TikTok US deal could prevent another ban and allow the app to continue operating on American smartphones, though many of the details remain unresolved. 

The agreement centers on shifting control of TikTok’s U.S. operations away from its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, moving toward a group of U.S. and international investors.

While this development could mark a turning point, important questions about ownership, oversight, and security are still very much in play.

What the Proposed TikTok Deal Includes

ByteDance has signed agreements that would place the majority control of TikTok’s U.S. business into a new joint venture. 

That venture would include investors such as:

  • Oracle

  • Silver Lake

  • Abu Dhabi-based technology firm MGX

What’s less clear is exactly how much control those investors would hold. Reports vary widely, with estimates ranging from under 50% to as much as 80% ownership. 

Those numbers matter because U.S. law requires a genuine divestment of TikTok’s American assets in order to avoid a ban.

This latest framework closely resembles a preliminary arrangement that was first floated around earlier in the year, although it has yet to receive final approval from regulators on either side.

Why TikTok Has Faced Ban Threats

The push for restrictions on TikTok dates back several years. U.S. officials have repeatedly raised TikTok national security concerns, citing the potential for user data to be accessed by the Chinese government, or for content to be subtly influenced through the app’s technology.

Tiktok user recording video
Adobe Stock

In 2024, Congress passed legislation requiring a ByteDance TikTok sale or a complete ban in the U.S. market. That law set the stage for repeated deadline extensions and a series of temporary reprieves.

The current deadline is set for early 2026, but a finalized deal could eliminate the need for another TikTok ban update altogether.

The Algorithm Question Still Looms

One of the most important unanswered questions revolves around the TikTok recommendation algorithm, the system that determines what users see and how content spreads across the platform.

TikTok has said the U.S. venture would oversee:

  • Data protection

  • Content moderation

  • Software security

Oracle would also play a role in hosting and safeguarding U.S. user data domestically. What’s still unclear is whether the algorithm itself would be transferred, licensed, or simply monitored. 

That distinction matters because U.S. lawmakers have made it clear that algorithmic control is at the heart of their concerns. Without clarity on that point, skepticism around the deal is bound to continue.

What This Means for TikTok Users

For now, TikTok is still available in U.S. app stores, and we shouldn’t see any immediate changes. If the deal proceeds, the short-term experience will probably feel very much the same.

Social media user filming video
Adobe Stock

Over time, however, shifts in data handling, moderation practices, and algorithm training could subtly reshape how the app functions. 

Whether those changes meaningfully address the security risks or simply manage them remains an open question.

Where the TikTok Deal Goes From Here

The proposed deal still faces several hurdles. Chinese regulatory approval has not been confirmed, and U.S. lawmakers are continuing to scrutinize whether the agreement meets the legal requirements of full divestment.

If complications continue, another deadline extension might be on the way. But, if the agreement holds, it could finally bring stability to an app that’s spent years operating under a cloud of uncertainty.

For now, TikTok’s future in the U.S. looks less precarious than it has in a long time, even if the fine print still matters more than the headlines.

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