Hunter Tierney Mar 30, 2026 13 min read

The ABS Era Begins With One Question: Was That a Strike?

Feb 22, 2026; West Palm Beach, Florida, USA; A view of the video board during an ABS challenge in the second inning between the Houston Astros and the St. Louis Cardinals at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches.
Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

For as long as baseball has been baseball, the argument about balls and strikes has gone exactly one way. The umpire calls it. You don't like it. You stare. You might say something you'll regret. And then the ump either ignores you, warns you, or throws you out — and the pitch stays however it was called, right or wrong, forever. 

That changed this week.

Opening Day 2026 didn’t bring robot umpires or some dramatic overhaul of the game. But it did introduce something baseball has never really had before — a way to push back. MLB rolled out the Automated Ball-Strike Challenge System, and for the first time, players can actually stop the game, tap their helmet, and say: hold on, that one didn’t look right.

It didn’t take long to see it in action. Yankees infielder José Caballero became the first to try it on Opening Night against Logan Webb. He challenged. He lost. The call didn’t change.

But even though that pitch stayed a strike, the idea didn’t. And just like that, one of the most argued parts of baseball finally has a second layer.

This is what the sport looks like now.

They Didn't Just Roll This Out on a Tuesday

Before getting into the week's chaos, it’s worth taking a step back and asking the obvious question: if this idea makes so much sense, why did it take this long to get here? And maybe more importantly, why didn’t MLB just go all the way and hand the strike zone over to a computer completely?

Because they tried that. And it didn’t really work.

MLB has been tinkering with this for years now. It started back in 2019 in the independent Atlantic League, where umpires were basically wearing earpieces and relaying what the system told them. From there it slowly climbed the ladder — Arizona Fall League, Low-A, High-A, then all the way up to Triple-A by 2023. By the time spring training rolled around in 2025, this wasn’t some experiment anymore. Roughly 60 percent of games in both Arizona and Florida were using the challenge system in some form, and the league was paying attention to everything — how players reacted, how often it got used, how much it actually changed the game.

And what they learned was pretty simple: going fully automated wasn’t the answer.

When every pitch was called by the system, the game started to feel too different. Walks went up. At-bats dragged on. Catchers lost one of the biggest parts of their job — framing pitches — because there was nothing left to influence. It was technically “more accurate,” sure, but it didn’t feel like baseball.

So instead of forcing a full takeover, the league settled on something that feels a lot more like baseball: keep the umpire in control, but give players a way to push back.

So What Actually Happens When You Tap the Helmet?

Apr 8, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Baltimore Orioles catcher Gary Sánchez (99) taps his helmet after a called strike during the fourth inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images

The biggest thing you notice right away is how little it actually interrupts the game. This isn’t a replay review where everyone stands around for two minutes waiting for someone in a booth to make a call. It fits much more within the rhythm.

A pitch gets called. The hitter pauses for a split second. If he doesn’t like it, he taps his helmet. Same thing for the catcher or pitcher. You’ve got exactly two seconds to make that decision — no looking to the dugout, no waiting for someone else to tell you what to do. You either trust your eyes or you don’t.

Once the challenge is made, it moves fast. The umpire signals it, the stadium screen lights up, and within a few seconds, you see a video showing where the pitch was. Fifteen seconds, give or take, and you’ve got your answer. Then everyone resets, and the next pitch is on the way.

It’s quick enough that it feels like a pause, not a disruption.

And the part that catches people off guard: the strike zone isn’t one-size-fits-all anymore. It’s tailored to each hitter.

Every position player got measured in spring training — no cleats, standing straight up — and those measurements now define their zone. The top sits at 53.5 percent of their height, the bottom at 27 percent. The width is still the plate, 17 inches, but the box itself is a clean rectangle that sits in the middle of the plate instead of the front edge.

That sounds like a small tweak, but if you’ve ever watched a pitch barely nick the front corner and turn into a full argument, you know how big that difference can be.

There are also some guardrails that keep this from turning into chaos. Managers can’t get involved. The dugout can’t signal down. It has to come from the three guys actually in the play — hitter, catcher, or pitcher — and it has to happen immediately. MLB even tweaked broadcast visuals so teams can’t just glance up and get instant confirmation before deciding.

And here’s where it gets interesting: not everyone is good at it.

Catchers, not surprisingly, have a huge edge. They see the pitch the whole way, they’re used to living on the edges of the zone, and they’ve already proven to be the most accurate challengers. In spring training last year, catchers were right 56 percent of the time. Hitters were basically a coin flip at 50 percent. Pitchers, who are turning and reacting after release, were down at 41 percent.

That gap is already shaping how teams think about this. Some clubs have quietly leaned into the idea that pitchers just shouldn’t challenge at all. Let the catcher handle it. Trust the guy with the best view.

It’s a small detail now, but over a full season, those little decisions — who challenges, when they do it, and how often they’re right — are going to start deciding games.

Spring Training Already Gave Us the Roadmap

If you were paying attention during spring training — which, I get it, not everyone's cup of tea — none of this should feel all that surprising.

They ran this thing heavily again in 2026 spring training, and by the end of camp, games were averaging around 4 to 5 challenges, and most of them were getting resolved in 15 seconds or less.

Think about that for a second. That’s basically nothing. You’re talking about maybe a minute total added across an entire game — and this is after the pitch clock already shaved 20+ minutes off the sport. It doesn’t drag. It just slides right into the flow.

There was also one really interesting takeaway that kept coming up all spring: the top of the strike zone is a mess.

Not because umpires suddenly forgot how to call it — but because the definition of the top of the zone and what it looks like in real time don’t always line up.

ABS sets the top of the zone based on a hitter’s measured height — a clean number taken when they’re standing straight up in spring training. But that’s not how hitters actually stand in the box. Some crouch. Some are upright.

From the umpire’s view — and honestly from the hitter’s perspective too — that creates a gray area. A pitch might look high based on the stance you’re seeing, but still clip the ABS zone because of how it was measured weeks earlier.

That’s where the disconnect comes from. And the league knows it.

One executive told ESPN that "height of the zone has been the most hot-button topic" around camp. An umpire even admitted it straight up: "You can't call anything high. Nothing."

The First Games Told You Everything You Needed to Know

The scoreboard at LECOM Park displays a screen from the ABS challenge system, indicating the path of the challenged pitch and the strike zone for the individual player. Major League Baseball is testing an Automated Ball-Stike (ABS) challenge system at select spring training parks. The system allows players to challenge a limited number of ball/stike calls during a game. Calls can be overturned if the pitch tracking technology shows an umpire got a call wrong.
Mike Lang / Sarasota Herald-Tribune / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The early returns didn’t exactly do umpires any favors.

Through the first full day of games, teams went 16 for 26 on challenges — about a 62 percent success rate. When players trusted their gut and actually challenged, they were right more often than not. That’s not exactly a glowing endorsement for the calls being made in real time.

And you could feel it watching. There were already moments where a call came in, a hitter paused, tapped the helmet, and you almost expected it to flip before the graphic even came up. That’s how quickly players — and honestly, fans — started adjusting to this.

Now, it’s still early. One day doesn’t define anything, and over 162 games, that number should drop a bit. But it does line up with what we’ve known for a while.

Umpires are good. Really good. They get around 93 percent of calls right. That sounds elite — until you zoom out a little. There are roughly 300 pitches in a game. That remaining seven percent? That’s around 20 calls a night that get blown.

And not all misses are the same.

A borderline ball in the second inning of a 6–1 game? Nobody’s losing sleep over that. But a blown in the ninth inning of a tie game, or a first-pitch strike with the bases loaded — those are the ones that have decided games for decades, with no way to fix them.

The Red Sox-Reds game on Opening Day gave you a clean, real-time snapshot of just how much this can swing things. 

In the fourth inning, Eugenio Suárez worked a full count and took a pitch that was called ball four. Walk. Inning continues. Except… it didn’t. A challenge came in, the call flipped to strike three, and just like that the inning was over. Same pitch, completely different outcome.

Fast forward to the ninth, and it flipped the other way. Connor Phillips thought he had a strikeout to shut down a Boston rally. Instead, Roman Anthony stepped out, tapped his helmet, and challenged. Ball four. Two batters later, runs were crossing the plate and the game was essentially over.

Reds manager Terry Francona talked about the adjustment after:

I think our pitchers are going to have to get used to thinking the inning might be over, and it's not.

The Strategy Layer Nobody's Fully Figured Out Yet

Mar 2, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; An umpire looks at the Jumbotron during an automated ball-strike challenge aka ABS in the Los Angeles Dodgers game against the Chicago White Sox during spring training at Camelback Ranch-Glendale.
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Here’s where this thing really starts to open up.

Two challenges doesn’t sound like much — until you actually sit down and think through a game. There are dozens of borderline pitches every night. Plenty of them feel big in the moment. But you only get two chances to actually do something about it.

So now every team has to answer the same question: when is it actually worth it?

Do you use one early to protect your starter? Say he’s grinding through the third inning, full count, borderline pitch — do you step in there and try to steal an out for him? Or do you live with it and save your bullets for the seventh, eighth, ninth when everything tightens up?

And even beyond when — there’s who.

Pitchers want it. Of course they do. They’re competitive, they think they got squeezed, they want the call fixed. But they’re also the worst at it. The numbers already say that. So do you trust them anyway? Or do you take it out of their hands completely and make it a catcher-only decision? Ten teams have already said no, they won't be letting pitchers challenge.

That’s where teams are starting to split off into totally different philosophies.

The Yankees, for example, leaned aggressive right away. They were near the top of the league in both hitter and catcher challenge rates during spring, and the vibe there is pretty clear: if you think it’s wrong, go get it. They’re willing to live with burning a challenge early if it means stealing a call they feel confident about.

Then you’ve got teams like the Diamondbacks, who were much more conservative. Almost the opposite approach. Fewer challenges, more patience, more of a “wait until it really matters” mindset. It’s less about volume and more about timing.

The Padres took a more structured route. A.J. Preller talked about how they actually spent time in spring training walking through situations — not just if you challenge, but when it makes sense. Count, inning, score, who’s at the plate, who’s on the mound. They’re trying to turn it into something repeatable, almost like a decision tree.

And then there are teams like the Athletics, who basically said: figure it out yourselves. Let the players handle it in real time. Trust their instincts and let it play out naturally.

That’s four completely different approaches to the exact same rule. And right now, nobody knows which one is right.

All stats courtesy of Baseball Savant.


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