Christine KruppMay 12, 2025 5 min read

Congressional Battle Over Medicaid Intensifies

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House Republicans have reignited a fierce debate over healthcare with a new budget plan that proposes nearly $880 billion in budget cuts for Medicaid over the next decade. The proposal reflects Donald Trump’s broader economic goals, but it’s already facing pushback. Democrats, healthcare experts, and even some Republicans warn the cuts could affect millions of low-income Americans.

The plan is part of a larger $4.5 trillion tax-and-spending package. It aims to reduce federal Medicaid spending by adding strict work requirements and tighter eligibility checks. Critics say these rules could make it harder for millions of vulnerable citizens to keep their healthcare.

The GOP's Fiscal Justification: Cuts as a Trade-off for Tax Relief

House Republicans say that cutting Medicaid would help cover the cost of extending tax cuts first passed by President Trump. They also argue the plan would slow down the growth of the national debt by reducing long-term government spending. Republicans argue the bill brings accountability to Medicaid by targeting what they describe as "able-bodied adults" who can and should contribute to the workforce.

"Medicaid should be a safety net, not a hammock," said House Budget Chairman Jodey Arrington (R-Texas). "We believe in giving people a hand up, not a handout. These reforms encourage work, reduce dependency, and promote fiscal responsibility."

The plan would require adults on Medicaid who don’t have disabilities to work, volunteer, or take classes for at least 80 hours a month to keep their coverage. It would also force states to check people’s eligibility twice a year.

Millions at Risk of Losing Coverage, Forecast Shows

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Early estimates from the Congressional Budget Office suggest the plan could cute 8.6 million from Medicaid by 2034. That number has raised concern among public health groups and progressive lawmakers who say the bill would roll back access to care for those who need it most.

"This budget is an attack on the poor disguised as a fiscal plan," said Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.), Chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus. "Stripping coverage from millions while handing out tax breaks to the wealthy is morally indefensible."

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities described the bill as "the most aggressive effort to hollow out Medicaid since its inception in 1965," warning that the burden would fall disproportionately on working-class families, rural communities, and communities of color.

Populist Republicans Push Back Over Medicaid Cuts

Not every Republican is on board with the plan. Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri, a vocal supporter of the party’s working-class shift, has criticized the proposed Medicaid cuts:

"If we're serious about being the party of the working man and woman, we can't slash their healthcare," Hawley said in a recent interview. "This is a legacy GOP move. Cut safety nets to fund tax breaks and it's a political and moral mistake."

Several moderate Republicans, especially those in swing districts, are uneasy about the depth of the Medicaid cuts. Their concerns could make it harder for the bill to pass in the House.

Medicaid Rules Could Overload States, Experts Say

Health policy experts say the bill’s paperwork requirements could overwhelm state systems that are already stretched thin. Many states are dealing with staff shortages and outdated technology, and adding more red tape could make things worse.

“This isn’t just about saving money. It’s about making the process so complicated that people give up or fall through the cracks,” said Dr. Sara Rosenbaum, a professor of health law and policy at George Washington University. “People won’t lose coverage because they don’t qualify. They’ll lose it because they missed a notice or didn’t fill out a form on time.”

She said this kind of red tape often leads to what experts call “churn”— when people who still qualify for Medicaid are dropped from the rolls by mistake, then have to reapply and fight to get back in.

GOP Claims "Fraud Prevention," Critics See Disenfranchisement

In response to backlash, GOP leaders have defended the reforms as necessary to root out fraud and maintain the system's integrity. A House Ways and Means Committee spokesperson said the proposed work requirements "mirror successful state programs." They referenced pilot studies that showed increased employment among Medicaid recipients.

However, multiple nonpartisan studies have challenged that claim. Research by the Kaiser Family Foundation found that most Medicaid recipients who can work already do so, and those who don't often cite caregiving duties, chronic illness, or lack of available jobs.

"This is a solution in search of a problem," said Joan Alker, Executive Director of the Georgetown Center for Children and Families. "The data doesn't support the narrative of widespread abuse. What's clear is that these proposals increase red tape and push people out of the program."

What’s at Stake for Millions of Americans

The House Republican budget represents a renewed ideological struggle over the government's role in providing healthcare. While supporters see it as a much-needed reform to a ballooning entitlement program, opponents warn it could unravel a crucial lifeline for millions.

Whether the proposal survives legislative scrutiny or not, it has already succeeded in drawing sharp lines around a foundational question in American politics: Who deserves access to care, and who decides?

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