The Jaylen Brown Trade Could Be A Slippery Slope For Boston
I keep coming back to the same question with this trade: what exactly was the rush?
Because when you slow it down for even a second, it’s hard to make it make sense. Ten years of Jaylen Brown in Boston — a championship, a Finals MVP, and more wins than anyone else in the league since he got here. And somehow, all of that got turned into a trade package for a 36-year-old who just missed a chunk of the season and hasn’t been consistently healthy in years. On a random Wednesday in July.
None of this adds up. Not the timing, not the return, not even the explanation Brad Stevens eventually landed on. This wasn’t something Boston got forced into. It was a decision.
And the more you sit with it, the more it feels like the wrong one.
A Genuine Blockbuster
Boston sent Jaylen Brown to Philadelphia for Paul George, a 2028 first-round pick that can turn into a swap, an unprotected 2031 first, and two seconds. Shams Charania had it first, and pretty much immediately the reaction was the same everywhere — wait, that’s it?
Because once you actually look at it, it’s hard to spin it any other way. George is 36. He’s cleared 60 games just one time since 2019. He had knee surgery last summer, missed the first 12 games of this season getting back from it, then got hit with a 25-game suspension in January for PEDs. When he was out there, sure, there were flashes — he hit 22 of 40 from three in that first-round series against Boston. But zoom out and it’s 16.2 points in 41 games, his lowest since year two, and over $110 million still owed across the next two seasons.
Then you flip to Brown. He’s 29, coming off the best year of his career: 29 points, seven rebounds, five assists, carrying a Celtics team that was supposed to be hanging on for dear life without Jayson Tatum, all the way to the two-seed in the East. They still won 56 games. Brown finished sixth in MVP voting, made another All-NBA team, and is right in the middle of his prime. George is none of those things.
And that’s really what this comes down to. You’re swapping a guy at the peak of his powers for one who’s clearly on the other side of it, and the picks don’t really bridge that gap.
Ten Years Of The Ultimate Consistency
Jaylen Brown wasn’t some nice piece for the Celtics for a bit. He was the No. 3 pick in 2016, one of the main assets Boston got out of that Brooklyn deal, and he turned into exactly what you hope that pick becomes. Two-way star, All-Star by 2021 (which honestly felt a little late), and one of the guys dragging them to the 2022 Finals.
But if you really want to trace this turmoil between Brown and the organization back to where it actually started — at least publicly — you go back to that 2022 offseason and the Kevin Durant saga. That one got loud in a way the earlier rumors never really did. Shams reported Boston had actually discussed a deal centered around Brown, his name was everywhere for weeks, and it felt real. Brown himself tweeted “Smh” when the report dropped, which kind of said everything without saying anything. Even if the exact details of what was or wasn’t formally offered are still debated, that summer planted a seed. From the outside, it looked like the Celtics were at least willing to consider moving him for a bigger star.
Then after making All-NBA, the Celtics seemingly made up for it by giving him that five-year, $304 million supermax — at the time, the biggest contract the league had ever seen.
2024 changed everything. Boston wins 64 games, best record in the league, and just steamrolls the playoffs going 16-3. And yeah, Tatum’s the face of the team, but if you actually watched that run, Brown was the guy setting the tone most nights. He wins Eastern Conference Finals MVP after sweeping Indiana, basically living at 30 a night, then takes Finals MVP too when they beat Dallas in five. Seven of 11 votes went his way. Banner 18. And he was the best player on the floor when it mattered most.
In the 2020s, they’re the only team that’s both won a title and made another Finals. That doesn’t happen by accident, and it’s not like Brown was passing through. He was there for all of it, one of the two constants the whole time.
So whatever issues you want to pick at — the shot selection, the front office tension, all of that — fine. But let’s not pretend this was some expendable piece. This was one of the two guys who built this entire era of Celtics basketball.
The Return Doesn't Come Close
Yes, Paul George is a nine-time All-Star and people still know the name, and sure, there were a couple moments in that first-round series where you could squint and see the old version of him. But name recognition isn’t the same thing as production. The guy Boston is getting is 36, has a pretty clear track record of missing time, and is owed about $110 million over the next two years. And if his body starts breaking down again — which, based on recent history, isn’t exactly a wild scenario — there’s not much flexibility there.
And beyond that, it doesn’t really solve what needed fixing. This team already leaned pretty heavily on jump shooting, and George only pushes them further in that direction. Brown lived at the rim way more, got to the line more, gave them a different kind of pressure. George’s game is a lot more perimeter-heavy — catch-and-shoot, working the corners, that kind of thing. Mitchell Robinson helps on the glass, sure, but this move by itself doesn’t balance anything out. If anything, it just makes them older and even more reliant on shots falling.
Then you get to the picks, which sound better at first than they actually are. One could end up just being a swap depending on how it plays out, and the other doesn’t even come until 2031. That’s a long way off. Throw in two seconds and… that’s the return. Dan Shaughnessy called it “40 cents on the dollar,” and honestly, that might be putting it mildly.
Where The Logic Starts To Crack
This is the part I can at least understand, even if I don’t really agree with where it ends up. Windhorst has been pretty consistent about the fact that this wasn’t really about whether teams think Brown is good. Everyone knows he’s good. The question was whether he’s worth $57 million right now, and about $182 million over the next three years. “The league doesn't value what he produces at his salary slot,” Windhorst said on the Hoop Collective Podcast. His co-host Tim MacMahon took it a step further:
I had a primary decision maker for another team in the league say, 'If you make $60 million, this is what you’re worth in a trade. If he made $40 [million], every single team in the league would have been lining up for Jaylen, even with all the other issues.'
And honestly, when you step back and look at how this played out, that logic holds up. Boston came in asking for a ton — reportedly four firsts — and teams like Denver, Portland, and Houston basically checked out before it ever got serious. And once it got out that Boston was actually shopping him, everything flipped. Teams could feel it and started treating Boston like they didn’t have the same leverage anymore.
That’s just where the league is right now. The apron rules, the cap — all of it. Front offices aren’t starting with “is this guy good?” anymore. They’re starting with “is he worth what he’s making?”
But just because that’s how the market saw it doesn’t mean Boston had to go along with it. And that’s where this whole thing loses me.
Giannis Was Right There
Ten days before this trade, Boston was right there for Giannis Antetokounmpo. Not fake interest, not a check-in call — actually in it, down to the final two offers Milwaukee was choosing between before they landed on Miami. Boston’s package, per Charania, was built around Brown and two unprotected firsts, and the Bucks were seriously considering it before deciding they needed just a little more to get it done.
So what was the hang-up? Two specific young guys: Hugo González and Baylor Scheierman. Boston didn’t want to go past Brown and the two firsts.
And this is where it starts to feel off. Because if you’ve already decided the Brown-Tatum thing isn’t going anywhere and you’re open to moving him, the Giannis framework is sitting right there. Two-time MVP. Top-five player in the world. That’s the swing. Miami’s offer was a bunch of really solid pieces — Herro, Ware, Jaquez, Jakučionis, plus picks. Good players, real depth, but no one anywhere near Brown’s level individually. Boston walked in with arguably the best single asset on the table and still lost out.
Now look, Giannis comes with his own risks, and there’s a real argument for not emptying everything out for one move. But once you’ve already decided you’re trading Brown, and you’re already willing to attach real picks to do it, there's no reason a player who averaged five points last year should be stopping you.
Why would Boston be so stubborn with those two young pieces, but be so willing to take on Paul George and that contract? That’s the part that doesn’t make sense.
Philly Basically Got Him For Free
If the Bucks angle doesn’t quite get you there, this probably will. Before Boston even picked up the phone on Brown, Philadelphia had been quietly trying to move George’s contract just to clear space. And according to Kirk Goldsberry, they were ready to attach a first-round pick just to get someone to take it. That’s where the market was on George. Teams weren’t lining up for him — they needed to be convinced.
Then somehow that same contract turns into this. The Sixers take George, add two firsts and two seconds, and walk away with a five-time All-Star coming off the best season of his career. And the craziest part is, it didn’t even sound debatable when they talked it through after. Bobby Marks got asked straight up on the Hoop Collective if Philly basically landed Brown for free, and he didn’t even hesitate:
Brian Windhorst: “Bobby, let me ask you this: Let’s just say Philly wanted to dump Paul George’s salary — it’s two years and $110 million or something like that. Forget Jaylen Brown for a minute. Let’s just say it was Philly’s underlying desire to get off Paul George. Would it have cost a pick?”
Bobby Marks: “It would have cost them an unprotected first. At least one.”
Windhorst: “So did they get Jaylen Brown for free?”
Marks: “Essentially.”
In Brad We Trust — Or Used To
I do want to be fair here, because Stevens has earned that. He’s been one of the best executives in the league since he stepped away from coaching. The Kemba-for-Horford swap. Getting Derrick White before most of the league really caught on. Building that 2024 title team around two homegrown stars and a bunch of smart, smaller moves that all fit together. He’s won Executive of the Year more than once for a reason, and that’s why people default to trusting him.
I get that. I really do. But trust doesn’t mean you just shrug something like this off. This one deserves to be looked at on its own, and when you do that, it’s hard to justify. Boston had a real shot at the best player available this summer and hesitated over two role-player prospects. Then, after that door slammed shut, they pivoted and took back a declining star on a massive contract plus a pick package that most people around the league shrugged at — all for a guy who never asked out, never made things messy, and spent a decade doing nothing but help you win.
That’s the part that’s going to stick. Fans watched Jaylen Brown grow into all of it — from raw prospect to All-Star to Finals MVP. And now he’s going to be doing that in Philly, of all places. And that roster? It’s not hard to see it becoming a real problem for Boston pretty quickly.
You can talk about the cap, the apron, the numbers — all of that matters. But it doesn’t change how this is going to feel when Boston has to face him in a playoff series.
All stats courtesy of NBA.com.
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