Jacksonville’s already settled into London life this month. Houston, though, is flying in with a season that could swing in either direction.

The Jaguars are 4–1 and coming off a wild 19–17 win over Philadelphia, sealed by Cam Little’s 57-yard field goal as time expired. The Texans are 1–4, and they finally picked up their first win last week — now they have a date with the team sitting atop the AFC South.

Jacksonville may have the easier travel schedule. But that doesn’t mean Sunday will be easy.

A Second London Game, With a Different Kind of Pressure

The Jaguars beat the Eagles at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last Sunday and ended up staying in the UK for this week’s game. Trevor Lawrence said before the trip that, after making this trip so many times, the team at least knows what to expect from the travel and the routine. Houston has to figure that part out now, with kickoff coming at 8:30 a.m. Houston time.

But Jacksonville isn’t just replaying the same week. Sunday’s game moves across London to Wembley, and the Eagles gave the Jaguars plenty to clean up. Jacksonville outgained Philadelphia 408–232 but couldn’t finish three drives inside the 20. The ending was a thriller, which was fun for everyone watching and probably not quite what Liam Coen had in mind.

There’s more at stake here than the novelty of playing in London. Jacksonville won the division last season, but Houston was right on their heels just one game back. The teams split their two meetings, with each one winning at home. Now the Jaguars are playing their first AFC South game of 2026 in London, where they’re officially the home team.

Houston can’t erase an 0–4 start in one morning, but beating the division leader would give their comeback a much sturdier foundation.

Can Houston Keep Stroud Clean and Still Take Their Shots?

The Texans’ 26–3 win over Tennessee was the first time this season they really looked like themselves. C.J. Stroud completed 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, threw a touchdown to Jaylin Noel, and ran for another. The defense held the Titans to 187 total yards. After four straight losses, Houston finally put together the kind of complete game they expected to play much earlier.

Now comes the harder part: doing it again against Jacksonville.

Houston's given up 14 sacks through five games, and the running game's averaging just 3.4 yards per carry. That’s a tough matchup against a Jaguars defense holding opponents to 2.9 yards per carry. If Jacksonville takes away the easy runs, Stroud could spend a lot of the morning in obvious passing situations, with Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker coming after him.

Still, Houston can’t afford to play scared. The Texans already have 21 completions of at least 20 yards, and Stroud's done a nice job protecting the ball without completely taking the big plays out of the offense. The key is giving him enough time to find those throws.

Jacksonville has some things to clean up, too. The Jaguars have 11 sacks this season, but they only got to Jalen Hurts once. They’ve also allowed 17 passes of at least 20 yards. The Eagles’ 62-yard touchdown was a good reminder that you can stop the run, pressure the quarterback, and still give up a huge play that changes the game.

If Jacksonville sends extra rushers at Stroud, they have to be ready for what’s left open behind them.

Houston can create the same kind of problems on the other side. Will Anderson Jr. had three sacks against Tennessee, and Jaguars left tackle Anton Harrison left the Eagles game with a knee injury. That’s something to keep an eye on this week. Trevor Lawrence threw for 331 yards and two touchdowns against Philadelphia, but Jacksonville missed enough chances near the goal line to turn what should’ve been an easy win into a much tighter game.

Sunday’s game kicks off at 9:30 a.m. ET on NFL Network.

Jacksonville has the edge right now. They're just playing better football right now. They’ve already adjusted to London time, and their run defense is a real problem for Houston. But being comfortable in London won’t block Hines-Allen for the Texans, and it won’t cover a deep route for the Jaguars.

All stats courtesy of Fantasy Points Data.

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