If you’ve only got one TV, Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET window is going to be a problem. Seven games kick off at once, and just about every one of them has something worth watching.

There are two divisional matchups with real standings implications, two winless teams trying to keep their seasons from slipping away, and quite a few early surprises looking to prove they’re the real deal.

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

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The Minnesota Vikings might be the strangest 4-0 team in football. They’re 31st in total offense, but they’ve still found ways to control games with defense that's got an NFL-best 16 sacks.

Their win over Miami was a perfect example. Minnesota had the ball for more than 39 minutes, and T.J. Hockenson caught all 13 of his targets for 119 yards. It wasn’t explosive, and it definitely wasn’t always pretty. But it worked.

The New Orleans Saints are almost the exact opposite. Tyler Shough's got them averaging 26.2 points a game, but turnovers and defensive breakdowns have played a big role in their 1-3 start. Their minus-five turnover differential is tied for second-worst in the league.

That puts a lot of pressure on Shough, and Brian Flores is going to bring enough of that on his own. The Vikings don’t need much from their offense when their defense keeps giving them short fields like this. Minnesota’s banged-up offensive line and Justin Jefferson’s ankle could give New Orleans a real chance, but the Saints have to stop getting in their own way first.

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots

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Both teams are trying to prove something here.

The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-1 and have scored at least 26 points in every game. Kirk Cousins threw for 365 yards in last week’s loss to Kansas City, and the Raiders finished with 437 total yards. A loss is still a loss, but Las Vegas looked like they belonged in that game.

The New England Patriots are coming off an even bigger confidence boost. Their offense finally broke through in a 29-26 win over Buffalo, with Drake Maye throwing for 269 yards and three touchdowns. New England also leaned much more on pre-snap motion, and it paid off with a season-high 405 yards.

Now comes the hard part: doing it again.

Maye's thrown seven interceptions, and New England has a minus-five turnover differential. The Raiders can score in a hurry, so they can’t keep handing them extra possessions. If the Raiders are able to pull this off, it'll be pretty hard to call this a fun team that just got hot for the first three weeks.

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers

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This is the clearest clash of identities in the early window.

The Indianapolis Colts want Jonathan Taylor running the show. He’s already piled up 353 rushing yards and six touchdowns, and the Colts are averaging a solid 25.5 points even though they rank just 25th in total offense.

The problem is what happens when Daniel Jones has to make plays on his own. He’s already been responsible for eightturnovers, which has helped leave Indianapolis with the NFL’s worst turnover differential at minus-six. The Colts have won their last two games anyway, but that’s not exactly a sustainable plan.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are built to attack that weakness. T.J. Watt and company have 10 sacks and a plus-two turnover differential, and Pittsburgh forced Jones into five turnovers when these teams met last season.

Indianapolis needs Taylor to keep the offense out of obvious passing situations. Pittsburgh needs to protect Aaron Rodgers better than they did during last week’s five-sack loss to Cleveland. Whichever team's able to play their style of game will probably control the afternoon.

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

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The Cleveland Browns are 3-1 for the first time since 2021, and if they win a fourth straight, they'll be in the driver's seat of the AFC North.

Deshaun Watson's quietly completed nearly 70 percent of his passes, and rookie receiver Denzel Boston is starting to look like a real difference-maker. His 284 receiving yards are the most by a Browns rookie through four games in franchise history. Cleveland’s defense has done their part too, with 12 sacks and a knack for coming up with timely turnovers.

The New York Jets, on the other hand, ran just 32 offensive plays in a 23-12 loss to Chicago. The Bears had more first downs than the Jets had plays. That’s not a typo, though I’m sure Jets fans wish it was.

Geno Smith has mostly taken care of the football, but it’s tough to build any kind of rhythm when the offense can’t stay on the field. The big question is whether New York can protect Smith and stay out of third-and-long against Cleveland’s pass rush. If they can’t, this could turn into another very long afternoon in a hurry.

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins

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The simplest reason this game matters is desperation. The Cincinnati Bengals started 2-0 but just dropped two straight, and the lowly Dolphins are still looking for their first win at 0-4.

Miami's averaging an NFL-low 11.5 points per game, and losing De’Von Achane to a torn ACL certainly didn’t make fixing the offense any easier. Ollie Gordon II gave the Dolphins a little spark with his first 100-yard rushing game against Minnesota, but they still managed just 10 points.

Cincinnati has the opposite problem. Joe Burrow threw for 428 yards against Jacksonville, but the Bengals still lost 22-17 after turning the ball over and getting almost nothing going on the ground. Now Ja’Marr Chase is in the concussion protocol, and Tee Higgins is dealing with an adductor injury.

So the question is pretty simple: Can Burrow carry the Bengals if his top two guys aren’t out there, or can Miami finally turn a competitive afternoon into an actual win?

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

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Yes, both teams are 0-4. And somehow, this is still one of the most important games of the window.

The Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans are AFC South rivals, so Sunday matters for the standings and the tiebreaker picture. More than that, one of these teams is finally going to walk out of a stadium with at least a little hope. The loser will be 0-5 and running out of believable ways to say things are about to turn around.

Houston’s been much more competitive than that record suggests. C.J. Stroud's thrown for 1,141 yards without an interception, but the Texans keep finding ways to blow late leads. They were up by 10 against Dallas last week before giving up touchdowns on four of the Cowboys’ final five possessions.

Tennessee’s offense ranks last in total yards, even though Cam Ward and rookie receiver Carnell Tate finally showed some life against Baltimore. Tate caught nine passes for 145 yards, so it's at least a young connection worth keeping an eye on.

The big question is whether Tennessee can keep Houston’s pass rush away from Ward long enough for that connection to matter. The Texans have 14 sacks. The Titans rank last in time of possession. Something’s got to give.

New York Giants at Washington Commanders

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This is the game to circle.

The Giants are 3-1 and sitting on top of the NFC East. They’ve already picked up one division win, and another one on the road would give them a pretty meaningful early edge in the standings and the tiebreaker picture.

They’ve managed to keep winning even after losing Jaxson Dart for the rest of the regular season. Malik Nabers just had his first 100-yard game of the year, and the Giants lead the NFL with six interceptions.

Washington's 1-3 and already 0-2 in the division. A loss would put the Commanders three games behind New York. There’s really no way around it: That’d be a massive hole to climb out of.

The good news is that they think they'll be getting Jayden Daniels back after he missed the last two games with a dislocated elbow. The big question is how comfortable he’ll look against a Giants defense that brought pressure all over the place last week. Daniels’ coming back gives this game more juice than anything else on the schedule, but the Giants’ opportunistic secondary could make his return a pretty uncomfortable one.

All stats courtesy of Fantasy Points Data.

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