Hunter Tierney Jan 27, 2026 13 min read

AFC Championship: A Blizzard, a Backup, and a Brutal Defense

Jan 25, 2026; Denver, CO, USA; New England Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel speaks to the media after defeating the Denver Broncos in the 2026 AFC Championship Game at Empower Field at Mile High.
Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

The Patriots' AFC Championship win wasn’t about fireworks or box scores or Drake Maye putting on a show. It was about survival. About hanging on while the weather slowly stole the game away from everyone on the field.

Because once the snow started falling at Mile High — once the wind picked up, the lines disappeared, and every throw felt like a coin flip — the Patriots leaned into what had been carrying them throughout the playoffs: a defense that makes your life miserable.

New England was able to escape Denver with a 10–7 win. They dragged the game into the mud, dared the Broncos to survive it with a backup quarterback, and walked out with the Lamar Hunt Trophy and a ticket to Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara against the Seahawks.

The Patriots Are Back — And Vrabel's Squad Isn't Here to Be Polite

A year ago, the Patriots felt like a franchise stuck staring in the rearview mirror.

Two straight 4–13 seasons. A one‑and‑done head coach. A fanbase arguing with itself every Sunday about whether it was time to tear the whole thing down or protect whatever was left of the dynasty memories.

And then Mike Vrabel showed up.

Not with slogans. Not with speeches about “culture” or “the Patriot Way 2.0.” Vrabel doesn’t really do inspirational posters. His version of rebuilding is pretty simple: tackle better, hit harder, stop beating yourself, and make life miserable for the other team.

That tone changed everything.

In one season, New England went from drifting to dangerous. They finished 14–3 and became the first team in NFL history to go 9–0 on the road in a single season, playoffs included.

That’s not a fun stat. That’s an identity.

And you could see that identity all over this game in Denver.

The Backup Became the Story

Oct 5, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Denver Broncos quarterbacks Bo Nix (10) and Jarrett Stidham (8) and Sam Ehlinger (4) run from the tunnel for action against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field.
Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

The Broncos didn’t feel like a fluke all year, and anyone who watched them closely knew it.

They were physical. They were disciplined. They had a real identity. And they had the kind of offensive line that makes defensive coordinators wake up at 3 a.m. staring at the ceiling, thinking about how they’re supposed to survive second‑and‑6.

This wasn’t some cute Cinderella run. Denver had earned their way here.

But the entire AFC Championship came with one brutal footnote that nobody could ignore: Bo Nix’s ankle injury.

Instead of the second-year quarterback coming in off the best game of his season, you had Nix watching from a suite with his ankle locked in a boot.

And suddenly, the spotlight swung to a name nobody expected to be talking about on Championship Sunday.

Jarrett Stidham.

A former Patriot journeyman. A quarterback most fans still associate with preseason snaps and late‑season spot duty. A guy making his first playoff start. A guy making his first start of any kind in 749 days.

No pressure or anything.

Denver Draws First Blood

For about a quarter and a half, it looked like the Broncos might actually pull this off.

Stidham opened 0‑for‑3, which didn’t exactly settle anyone’s nerves, but then Denver hit a 52‑yard shot to Marvin Mims Jr., the longest air‑yard completion the Broncos had all season.

That one throw did two really important things at once.

  • First, it gave Stidham some confidence. You could see it in his body language — shoulders loosened, feet calmer, breathing finally under control.

  • Second, it forced New England to widen the field. Suddenly, this wasn’t just about taking away the quick game and daring the backup to beat you. The Patriots had to respect the deep ball.

A few snaps later, Stidham finds Courtland Sutton on a quick strike for a 6‑yard touchdown.

7–0 Broncos.

And it wasn’t just the score. Denver was controlling the night.

By the second quarter, the Broncos had outgained New England 125–12, and forced the Patriots to punt on their first three possessions — something they hadn’t done all season.

Denver’s front was winning early. The Patriots weren’t getting clean pockets. Routes weren’t opening quickly. And the whole thing started to feel familiar — that classic playoff script in Denver where the crowd gets louder, the defense starts flying downhill, and the visiting offense spends the night just trying to survive.

And then Sean Payton bet on his backup.

When Points Were Gold, Denver Passed on the Easy Ones

Oct 19, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton looks to down judge Sarah Thomas (53) in the fourth quarter against the New York Giants at Empower Field at Mile High.
Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Midway through the second quarter, Denver was facing a 4th-and-1 at the Patriots’ 14.

In a normal game, you understand the instinct to go for it. You’re at home. You’ve got momentum. Your defense is flying around. Go put your foot on their throat and make it 14–0.

But this wasn’t a normal game.

You had a backup quarterback making his first start in two years. The temperature was already dropping. The crowd was tense. And both defenses were playing good football. That’s where the second-guessing starts.

Sean Payton keeps the offense on the field anyway.

The call is a naked rollout to the right — designed to get Stidham on the edge, force the defense to choose, and steal the easiest yard in football.

Only the Patriots don’t choose. They crash it.

Milton Williams and Cory Durden win immediately inside. The edge closes fast. Stidham never really has a lane, never really has a clean window, and by the time he tries to flick the ball out, the play is already dead.

Incomplete. No points.

Later, Payton said the way his defense was playing factored into the decision.

Which is… an interesting explanation. Because his defense was playing well.

"There will always be regrets... I just felt like, man, we had momentum to get up 14, felt like we had a good call. I was just watching the way our defense was playing."

And Denver didn’t know it yet — but those were the cheapest points they were going to get.

One Panic Throw, One Short Field

Late in the second quarter, Stidham saw Christian Elliss flashing into his face and did what he thought he had to do — dump the ball to Tyler Badie and live for the next snap. Only the ball came loose before he threw it. At first, it looked like an incomplete pass. Then Vrabel was in the officials’ ear, the replay came up on the board, and the whole stadium realized what had just happened.

Fumble. Patriots ball at the Denver 12.

Two snaps later, Josh McDaniels went straight to the point. Quarterback draw. Maye followed Garrett Bradbury and Rhamondre Stevenson through a crease and walked in from six yards out. Tie game, 7–7.

And if you’re Denver, that’s the moment your stomach drops. You had controlled the half. You had the crowd. You had the energy. And with one mistake, all of it vanished.

Both teams still had one last chance before the break, and both came up empty — Will Lutz pushed a 54‑yarder wide, Borregales missed from 63 as time expired.

Tie game going into the break.

Sixteen Plays, Nine Minutes, One Championship Lead

Jan 25, 2026; Denver, CO, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) holds the AFC Championship trophy while speaking to the media after defeating the Denver Broncos in the 2026 AFC Championship Game at Empower Field at Mile High.
Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

When the second half opened, the storm finally started to show its teeth. The wind picked up. The snow thickened. And it became obvious very quickly that nobody was going to light up the scoreboard anymore.

Which made the Patriots’ opening drive of the third quarter absolutely perfect.

Not pretty. Not explosive. Just exactly what the moment called for.

Sixteen plays. Sixty‑four yards. Nine minutes and thirty‑one seconds bled right off the clock, and maybe more importantly, it was the last stretch of the game that still looked anything like normal football.

New England ran it. Moved the pocket. Converted just enough third downs to keep the chains moving. And then came a fourth down. McDaniels goes with another quarterback sneak, Denver challenges it, and inevitably they end up with a first down.

A few snaps later, Borregales knocked through the 23‑yard field goal.

Patriots 10, Broncos 7.

And with the snow really starting to come down, it felt like more than a three‑point lead.

A Flicker Of Hope

By this point, the game had turned into a mess. Players were slipping, the wind was pushing throws sideways, and even the officials couldn't figure out where the ball should be spotted. Completing a quick slant felt like an accomplishment, which is why the flea‑flicker came out of nowhere.

Maye hit Mack Hollins for 31 yards — the longest pass New England would have all night — and for a brief second, you could feel the stadium shift. Maybe they could steal another score. Maybe this was the moment the game finally opened up.

It didn’t last. The storm had other plans. The drive stalled, Borregales lined up from 46, and the kick drifted wide in the snow. From that point on, the game became about field position, patience, and who could survive the next mistake.

Organized Chaos: New England Suffocated Denver

Jan 18, 2026; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots cornerback Marcus Jones (25) reacts after scoring a touchdown in the second quarter against the Houston Texans in an AFC Divisional Round game at Gillette Stadium.
Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images

This is where the Patriots’ playoff identity fully took over. They weren’t just blitzing for the sake of it — they were picking their spots, disguising pressure, playing tight man coverage, and forcing Stidham to speed everything up. The goal wasn’t sacks. It was causing chaos.

With the weather killing the downfield game, New England knew exactly what a backup quarterback wanted: quick throws, easy completions, no hits. So they tackled immediately, erased yards after the catch, and turned every completion into a chore.

Stidham wasn’t missing reads — he barely had time to make them. The result was total control. Denver managed just 32 yards and one first down in the second half, and ran only six plays in the third quarter.

That’s suffocation.

One Last Kick

Every ugly playoff game eventually comes down to one moment, and for Denver, it came with 4:46 left. A short Patriots punt handed them the ball at the New England 33 — a gift in a blizzard. They didn’t need a touchdown. Just a few clean plays and a game-tying field goal.

They got into range. Will Lutz lined up from 45. And then Leonard Taylor III, a practice‑squad call‑up who wasn’t even on the roster a few months ago, got a hand on it. Blocked. No tie.

The kick actually looked like it had a chance before it disappeared into the snow, which somehow made it hurt more. In that wind, nobody knows if it would’ve gone through. But it didn’t matter.

Christian Gonzalez Slams the Door

Dec 15, 2024; Glendale, Arizona, USA; New England Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez (0) against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium.
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

After the block, Denver still had one last breath.

Stidham got the ball back with a chance to move them into range, but that was always going to be the hardest part of the night. The Patriots knew exactly what they were waiting for — one rushed decision, one ball left hanging just a little too long.

It came with 2:11 left.

Stidham tried to force a throw on the outside, and Christian Gonzalez stepped in front of it. Interception. Season essentially over.

The Ultimate "Call Your Own Number"

With the ball back and the game on the line, New England still had to finish it.

Denver had one timeout, the two‑minute warning, and just enough life left to make things uncomfortable. On 3rd‑and‑5 near midfield, Josh McDaniels dialed up an outside zone run to Rhamondre Stevenson. Denver sold out to stop it.

And that’s when Drake Maye did one of the ballsiest things you could do in that moment.

He kept it.

A naked bootleg to the left, seven yards, first down — and they were ready for victory formation.

He didn't even tell his own teammates what was coming. Garrett Bradbury said he turned around and Maye was already running free. Maye admitted afterward he thought about telling the guys he might keep it, then decided not to.

In the biggest moment of the season, in a blizzard, with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line, the quarterback trusted his eyes and stole the last yards they needed.

That’s winning football.

The Hardest Path to the Super Bowl in History

Oct 5, 2025; Orchard Park, New York, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) and wide receiver Stefon Diggs (8) walks off the field against the Buffalo Bills after the game at Highmark Stadium.
Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Now for the part fans love to argue about.

Someone will look at the box score and say, “Yeah, but he only threw for 86 yards.” And technically, that’s true.

It also completely misses the point.

This wasn’t a night for throwing for 300. It was a night for not doing the one thing that loses you the game.

Maye finished 10‑of‑21 for 86 yards, ran for 65 more, and scored the Patriots’ only touchdown. More importantly, he never forced a bad throw, never panicked when the weather took over, and never put the ball in danger.

He beat three top‑five defenses on the way to the Super Bowl, something no quarterback had ever done before. And in the biggest game of the season, he understood exactly what the moment called for.

His legs were the engine. His decision‑making was the steering wheel.

All stats courtesy of NFL Pro.

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